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Why It's So Much Harder to Predict Winners in Esports


Yauheni Hladki (StarSeries Commissioner, StarLadder)

Location: Overlook 2018, West Hall

Date: Thursday, March 22

Time: 12:45pm - 1:10pm

Pass Type: All Access, GDC Conference + Summits, GDC Conference, GDC Summits, Expo Plus, Audio Conference + Tutorial, Educators Summit, Indie Games Summit - Get your pass now!

Topic: Design, Production & Team Management

Format: Poster Session

Vault Recording: Not Recorded

Audience Level: All

A statistical look at luck and skills in "traditional" sports vs esports. This session will discuss why it's so much harder to predict winners in esports than in traditional sports.


Attendees will learn why the design of an esports/sports league matters a great deal, as it introduces randomness as a factor of the results. They will also learn how the majority of esports competitions are constructed in a 'fairer' way as compared to 'traditional' sports, thus making it harder to predict winners in esports than in 'traditional' sports.

Intended Audience

Esports professionals, game designers of competitive systems, tournament organizers and operators, anyone interested in esports as a social and cultural phenomenon.